![]() ![]() In this system, both teams must be 180th or lower in the KenPom rankings. It relies on favorite teams not playing up to their full potential once they are out of contention for a spot in March Madness. However, this method is only valid for games taking place during the final two weeks of the regular season, and it excludes postseason matches. In 2014, user Ryno23 came up with a very unique system using KenPom ratings as a reference. ![]() ![]() It’s up to you to find the right situations and the best odds to wager on. Of course, just like any other sports prediction systems, KenPom is never going to be 100% accurate. It doesn’t mean that betting using KenPom as a reference has lost its value: it will probably offer lower payouts than it did in the past, but the system is still extremely reliable. Sportsbooks take KenPom predictions into account to make their lines.Tips on Using KenPom Predictions for Betting His system, however, remains a reference among bettors, and even bookmakers keep track of it. In a 2017 interview for ESPN, Pomeroy revealed that he doesn’t even fill the March Madness bracket. Of course, it doesn’t mean that you can’t use the KenPom system for betting, as we will explain further ahead.įunnily enough, the man himself isn’t an avid punter. As a result, finding lines that differ significantly from KenPom predictions is increasingly difficult. Nowadays, most bookmakers use KenPom as the reference for their own betting lines. Naturally, sportsbooks took notice of KenPom predictions. And more often than not, it resulted in wins. Whenever the betting lines deviated too much due to KenPom predictions, bettors wouldn’t hesitate to take their chances. Stevens credited KenPom, saying that he would usually check the advanced stats of Butler’s opponents prior to the matches.īookmakers, on the other hand, initially weren’t aware about the punters’ best kept secret. In 2010, when he was Butler head coach, he took the team to its first ever National Championship Game. The most famous example is current Boston Celtics head coach Brad Stevens. His system had been growing in notoriety among college basketball fans, sports betting enthusiasts, and even college basketball coaches. His system took into account advanced metrics, such as offensive and defensive efficiency (points per 100 possessions), game pace, and strength of schedule, among others. In 2012, Pomeroy took the decision to turn KenPom into a full time operation and quit his job with the National Weather Service.īack in a time when advanced metrics and stats were very much unheard of, Pomeroy’s approach changed things completely. Five years later, he shifted his site’s focus exclusively to college basketball. In 1999, Pomeroy created the KenPom website, which provided ratings for all sorts of college sports. Ken Pomeroy, a meteorologist working for the National Weather Service in Montana, decided that he could come up with a better, more efficient system for college basketball analysis. As long as a team produces good numbers on the defensive side of the game, such as giving up fewer points, then it will be considered good on the defense even when that isn’t exactly true. In other words, a good offense can also boost a team’s defensive numbers, even if that same team isn’t as strong from a purely defensive perspective.īut a raw-stats sheet doesn’t take that into account. After all, the team that dominates actions, such as possession and shooting, leaves as little room as possible for its opponent to fight back. In sports, some people will argue that offense is the best defense. What was originally a small site compiling statistics from all sorts of college sports, soon became a reference for sports betting.īut what exactly is the KenPom system? And how exactly can you use KenPom predictions in betting? Are they really that effective? Let’s take a look at what the KenPom system is, how it works in betting, and how to make the best of it to boost your wins. And sure enough, bettors also took notice of it. The KenPom site slowly gained notoriety among college basketball fans. But one of them, which wasn’t actually created as a betting system in the first place, became a favorite and changed college basketball betting forever: the KenPom rankings. Naturally, many have tried to come up with accurate betting systems for college football games. ![]() With 357 NCAA Division I teams, there is no lack of action on any given weekend. The college basketball season is always a highly-anticipated time of the year for sports betting. ![]()
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